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Uruguay vs Cabo Verde Prediction: Pedigree Meets the Upset

Uruguay striker Darwin Nunez ahead of the World Cup 2026 Group H match against Cabo Verde

Preview, published 21 June 2026. Kick-off 6pm ET, Hard Rock Stadium, Miami.

Uruguay vs Cabo Verde is a Group H game Uruguay are expected to control, and our prediction is a 1-0 Uruguay win, their greater pedigree and physical edge breaking down the World Cup debutants who already held Spain. Cabo Verde proved in their opener they will not be overawed, so Uruguay must be patient against a side enjoying the biggest week in its football history.

Update: Cabo Verde drew 2-2 with Uruguay again, with Kevin Pina and Joel Varela cancelling out goals from Araujo and Canobbio as the debutants frustrated the South Americans for a second straight match. Read the full match report.

Match factsDetail
FixtureUruguay vs Cabo Verde, World Cup 2026 Group H
Kick-off6pm ET, 21 June
VenueHard Rock Stadium, Miami
Group H so farSpain, Cabo Verde, Saudi Arabia and Uruguay all on 1pt
Our predictionUruguay 1-0 Cabo Verde

What is at stake in Uruguay vs Cabo Verde

Group H is wide open, all four teams level on a point after Uruguay drew 1-1 with Saudi Arabia and Cabo Verde stunned Spain in a 0-0 draw. A win lifts either side into a strong position with one game to go. Uruguay carry the bigger names and the deeper tournament experience, but Cabo Verde have already shown they can frustrate a heavyweight.

Players to watch

Uruguay build around Federico Valverde’s engine in midfield and the running of Darwin Nunez up front, with Manuel Ugarte shielding the back four. Cabo Verde counter through captain Ryan Mendes and the experience of Bebe, backed by a resolute defensive block that kept Spain at bay and will look to do the same to the South Americans.

Our Uruguay vs Cabo Verde prediction

Cabo Verde will defend in numbers and make the game scrappy, exactly as they did against Spain. Uruguay have the quality to find a way through, but it may take just one moment from Nunez or Valverde. We predict a hard-earned 1-0 Uruguay win that edges them towards the Round of 32 without ever being comfortable.

What is next

Both sides finish Group H in the final round, with the table still finely poised. See the day’s other games in our June 21 preview, revisit Uruguay’s opener in our Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay report and Cabo Verde’s in our Spain vs Cabo Verde report, and check the format in our complete World Cup 2026 guide. A full match report follows the final whistle. See the official schedule at the FIFA match centre.

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Uruguay vs Cabo Verde?

Our prediction is a 1-0 Uruguay win. Their pedigree should edge the World Cup debutants, though Cabo Verde’s defence will make it hard work in Group H.

When and where is Uruguay vs Cabo Verde?

Uruguay vs Cabo Verde kicks off at 6pm ET on 21 June 2026 at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, in World Cup 2026 Group H.

Why does Uruguay vs Cabo Verde matter?

All four Group H teams are level on a point. A win moves Uruguay or Cabo Verde towards the Round of 32, with the group decided in the final round.

Sources: 2026 FIFA World Cup Group H and the FIFA match centre.

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